1. ForecastsUkraine

   Ukraine: 11 of 12 UN projections since 1998 expected more people than there are

   The UN's 1998 projection expected 46.2M for 2023; the outcome was 37.7M (−18%). The latest checked one: the UN's 2022 projection expected 36.7M for 2023; the outcome was 37.7M (+3%). "Outcome" here is the UN's own current estimate, not registration data.

   Source: UN World Population Prospects 1998–2024; national statisticsOpen on the chart →

More findings

• Ukraine: more deaths than births for over 30 years in a row
• Ukraine: women outlive men by 13.3 years, 2.5 times the world average
• Ukraine: in 2020–2023 net migration was lower than all 12 UN projections assumed
• Life expectancy goals: 4 of 7 came true on time. Russia expected 75 years by 2020 and got 71.6
• Promises to cut public debt in 6 countries: 1 of 7 came true on time. France promised under 60% of GDP, got 91.7%
• Budget deficit promises in 6 countries: 3 of 8 came true by the deadline. Italy twice ended the year better than planned

All findings →