1. ForecastsMacao

   Macao: all 11 UN projections since 1998 expected women to have more children

   The UN's 1998 projection expected 1.59 for 2015–2020; the outcome was 1.00 (−37%). The latest checked one: the UN's 2022 projection expected 1.13 for 2023; the outcome was 0.66 (−41%). "Outcome" here is the UN's own current estimate, not registration data.

   Source: UN World Population Prospects 1998–2024; national statisticsOpen on the chart →

More findings

• Since 2003 Finland's 15-year-olds lost 60 points in maths, more than any of 35 countries
• The IMF foresaw 28 of 537 economic downturns around the world a year ahead
• 2022: the IMF expected inflation above 5% in 43 countries. It happened in 149
• Before 7 of 8 US recessions, next-quarter GDP decline odds were below 25%
• US: in 2001 a $5.6T budget surplus was projected for 10 years. The outcome: a $6.1T deficit
• The European Commission expected low inflation for 2022. In all 27 EU countries it came in higher

All findings →