1. ForecastsQatar

   Qatar: all 11 UN projections since 1998 expected fewer births

   The UN's 1998 projection expected 11.3k births a year on average for 2015–2020; the outcome was 27.1k (+140%). The latest checked one: the UN's 2022 projection expected 23.9k births for 2023; the outcome was 29.5k (+23%). "Outcome" here is the UN's own current estimate, not registration data.

   Source: UN World Population Prospects 1998–2024; national statisticsOpen on the chart →

More findings

• Where migrants make up the largest share
• Qatar: in 13 years out of 16 the IMF expected higher inflation than came
• Qatar: fertility is 62% above a GDP-based estimate
• The IMF foresaw 28 of 537 economic downturns around the world a year ahead
• 2022: the IMF expected inflation above 5% in 43 countries. It happened in 149
• Before 7 of 8 US recessions, next-quarter GDP decline odds were below 25%

All findings →