Bulgaria: 21.4% more deaths a year in 2020–2022 than the 2015–2019 trend predicted
Deaths above the extended 2015–2019 trend (Human Mortality Database, Macroscope's calculation): 2020 +14.9%, 2021 +38.7%, 2022 +10.6%. Men's life expectancy (UN estimate): 71.6 years in 2019, 68 years in 2021. The UN's 2019 revision expected 72.1 years for 2020–2025; the estimate for the years so far is 70.2 years.
Source: Human Mortality Database (excess deaths: Macroscope's calculation); UN WPPOpen on the chart →