Xi Jinping in 2020: China’s wind and solar to top 1,200 GW by 2030. It was 1,206 GW in July 2024
Xi Jinping12 December 2020 · Climate Ambition Summit
«total installed capacity of wind and solar power will reach over 1.2 billion kilowatts [by 2030]»
The 2030 target was reached in July 2024.
When the target was set there were 535 GW. The National Energy Administration says the target was met 6 years early.
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China set a 2030 target for wind and solar capacity and reached it in mid-2024.
First the words: who said it, when and where, verbatim (translations are ours). Answer Yes or No, or just open the answer: the stamp is the outcome, below it what came of it. On the chart the dark line is the fact year by year up to the deadline, the pale one after it; the blue dashed line is the promised number from the year of the words to the deadline, the light band the time the promise gave; the ring on the line is when it was said, the ring in the stamp’s colour the fact in the deadline year, beside it how far it landed from the goal. The numbers on the right are the scale.
- Xi Jinping, Climate Ambition Summit quote
«风电、太阳能发电总装机容量将达到12亿千瓦以上» — total installed capacity of wind and solar power will reach over 1.2 billion kilowatts [by 2030]
- What happened exceeded
The 2030 target was reached in July 2024.
- End of July 2024 GW
1,206 GW: target reached “6 years early” (NEA)
- End of 2020 GW
535 GW
Quote: the speech text on the Chinese government website. Capacity: National Energy Administration (NEA) releases; 2021–2024 values rounded. Outcome: «came true» — the promised number reached by the deadline («about» within 5%), an event happened before the end of the year promised; «exceeded» — with room to spare; «nearly» — short by no more than 10%; «late» — reached, but after the deadline; «did not come true» — not reached; «came true, then undone» — reached, then reversed. The deadline is the end of the year named.
The deadline has not come, but the “at least 1,200 GW” target is already met. Capacity is not output: wind and sun work part of the day and year.
A question for this picture
Why is one target met early while another of the same country lags?