China: all 12 UN projections since 1998 expected more births
The UN's 1998 projection expected 17.6M births a year on average for 2020–2025; the outcome was 9.67M (−45%). The latest checked one: the UN's 2022 projection expected 10.4M births for 2025; the outcome was 7.92M (−24%).
Source: UN World Population Prospects 1998–2024; national statisticsOpen on the chart →