1. EconomyUnited States

   US: in June 2020 the Fed expected inflation of 1.6% for 2021; the outcome was 5.7%

   Next-year projections of 69 releases (2007–2024): the outcome above the median projection 29 times, below 40; typical error −0.11 percentage points. The largest under-projection in June 2020: 1.6% expected for 2021, the outcome was 5.7%. The largest over-projection in March 2014: 1.8% expected for 2015, the outcome was 0.2%.

   Source: Federal Reserve, Summary of Economic Projections; actual: BEA, BLS, Federal ReserveOpen on the chart →

More findings

• China: an older population than the US
• Thailand: an older population than the US
• United States: wind and sun have overtaken coal
• DR Congo: more babies born than in the US
• Ethiopia: more babies born than in the US
• United States: more adults live with obesity than use tobacco

All findings →