US: those born in 2007 turned 18 in 2025; every generation after them is smaller
In 2007, 4.32 million babies were born, more than in any year since 1933, level with the baby-boom peak (4.31 million). In 2019: 3.75 million; in 2025: 3.61 million.
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The 2007 cohort is the largest in US birth records since the 1930s. It has finished school and is going to college and work. Every following class will be smaller: colleges, schools and employers will compete for fewer young people.
Bars: babies born in the US that year, thousands; the label gives their age in 2025.
- US: born in 2007 thousand
4,316.2
Human Mortality Database (US births) · CC BY 4.0; NCHS: births for 2024 and 2025
- US: born in 2010 thousand
3,999.4
Human Mortality Database (US births) · CC BY 4.0; NCHS: births for 2024 and 2025
- US: born in 2013 thousand
3,932.2
Human Mortality Database (US births) · CC BY 4.0; NCHS: births for 2024 and 2025
- US: born in 2016 thousand
3,945.9
Human Mortality Database (US births) · CC BY 4.0; NCHS: births for 2024 and 2025
- US: born in 2019 thousand
3,747.5
Human Mortality Database (US births) · CC BY 4.0; NCHS: births for 2024 and 2025
- US: born in 2022 thousand
3,667.8
Human Mortality Database (US births) · CC BY 4.0; NCHS: births for 2024 and 2025
- US: born in 2025 thousand
3,606.4
Human Mortality Database (US births) · CC BY 4.0; NCHS: births for 2024 and 2025
Human Mortality Database (registered births, from 1933) and, for the latest years, NCHS (final 2024 data, provisional 2025). Every year after 2007 is smaller: by 1.6% to 16.7%.
These are births, not future students: some children will move in, some out, and migration can noticeably change the number of 18-year-olds. 2007 beats the baby-boom peak by a fraction of a percent: level, in effect. 2025 data are provisional.
A question for this picture
And in Europe? Almost half as many babies are born as in 1959.