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  1. Markets and valuationsUnited States

    US: 10-year bonds yield 4.99% a year; inflation-protected ones 2.64% above inflation

    Nominal5.0%Real2.6%

    September 2026: monthly averages, % per year. Quoted yields are not bond price changes or an investor’s realised return.

    Source: Federal Reserve Board: H.15, direct sourceOpen on the chart →
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    What the market required for lending at different maturities and terms.

    Each bar is a distinct yield, not part of a total.

    The annual axis selects the last published month of each year, labelled with its actual date. The current year is incomplete; this is neither a full-year mean nor a live quote. Monthly Federal Reserve H.15 yields; spreads subtract matched months. Yields are not portfolio returns; inflation compensation includes risk and liquidity premiums.

    The nominal/TIPS difference includes risk and liquidity premiums as well as inflation expectations.

    A question for this picture

    How have yields changed since 2022?

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