1. ForecastsTunisia

   Tunisia: 126k babies were born in 2024, 23% fewer than the UN expected that same year

   The UN's July 2024 projection expected 164k, and even its lower bound was 133k. The gap started earlier: by the national count, 2023 births were already 19% below the UN's estimate.

   Source: UN World Population Prospects 1998–2024; national statisticsOpen on the chart →

More findings

• Tunisia: births are already as low as the UN expected only only after 2050
• Tunisia: the budget came out worse than the IMF forecast in 14 years out of 15
• Tunisia: fertility has been falling since 2015, from 2.31 to 1.83 children per woman
• Tunisia: in 15 years out of 18 the IMF expected faster growth than came
• Tunisia and Syria: similar GDP per person in 1990, 2.8 times apart in 2022
• Tunisia: from 4.36 to 2.49 children per woman in just 10 years

All findings →