1. ForecastsPanama

   Panama: older UN projections expected too little, the 2022 one too much

   Projections from 1998 to 2015 missed one way. The UN's 1998 projection expected 57.6k births a year on average for 2015–2020; the outcome was 76.7k (+33%). The UN's 2022 projection expected 76.6k births for 2023; the outcome was 71.5k (−7%). "Outcome" here is the UN's own current estimate, not registration data.

   Source: UN World Population Prospects 1998–2024; national statisticsOpen on the chart →

More findings

• Panama: once more natives lived abroad; now there are 2.5 times as many foreign-born residents
• In 2022 the international test of 15-year-olds represented only 36% of teenagers in Cambodia and 68% in Vietnam
• Panama: fertility has been falling since 2015, from 2.53 to 2.12 children per woman
• Panama: the budget came out worse than the IMF forecast in 13 years out of 15
• The IMF foresaw 28 of 537 economic downturns around the world a year ahead
• 2022: the IMF expected inflation above 5% in 43 countries. It happened in 149

All findings →