1. FertilityNew Zealand

   New Zealand: the Stats NZ 2011 projection expected fertility of 1.93 for 2026; the outcome was 1.51

   9 projections of Stats NZ checked against the facts at the latest common year: the outcome came in below the projection in all 9. The largest miss: Stats NZ 2011 expected 1.93 for 2026; the outcome was 1.51 (−21.8%). The office will revise the latest facts again.

   Source: National statistical offices: projections and actual dataOpen on the chart →

More findings

• New Zealand: over half recorded as “no religion”
• New Zealand: more adults live with obesity than use tobacco
• Leave for a new baby: of 13 election promises, 5 came true on time
• Since 2003 Finland's 15-year-olds lost 60 points in maths, more than any of 35 countries
• Adults who read only simple texts: up in 14 of 27 countries over 11 years, down in none
• New Zealand: 1.8 times as many Catholics as Anglicans

All findings →