1. EconomyNew Zealand

   New Zealand: in August 2023 the Reserve Bank of New Zealand expected GDP growth of 1.6% for 2024; the outcome was −1.6%

   Forecasts of 25 releases (2018–2024) for the next year: the outcome above the forecast 5 times, below 20; typical error −0.90 percentage points. The largest under-forecast in November 2022: −0.4% expected for 2023, the outcome was 1.5%. The largest over-forecast in August 2023: 1.6% expected for 2024, the outcome was −1.6%.

   Source: Central banks: published forecasts; actual: official statisticsOpen on the chart →

More findings

• New Zealand: over half recorded as “no religion”
• New Zealand: more adults live with obesity than use tobacco
• Leave for a new baby: of 13 election promises, 5 came true on time
• Since 2003 Finland's 15-year-olds lost 60 points in maths, more than any of 35 countries
• Adults who read only simple texts: up in 14 of 27 countries over 11 years, down in none
• New Zealand: 1.8 times as many Catholics as Anglicans

All findings →