1. ForecastsMalawi

   Malawi: all 11 UN projections since 1998 expected women to have more children

   The UN's 1998 projection expected 4.58 for 2015–2020; the outcome was 4.09 (−11%). The latest checked one: the UN's 2022 projection expected 3.79 for 2023; the outcome was 3.65 (−4%). "Outcome" here is the UN's own current estimate, not registration data.

   Source: UN World Population Prospects 1998–2024; national statisticsOpen on the chart →

More findings

• Malawi: 428k natives live abroad, 2.3 times as many as the foreign-born living there
• Goals to lower fertility in Africa and South Asia: 2 of 9 came true on time. Pakistan expected 2.6 by 2020 and had 3.77
• Malawi: the economy “grew” 38% in six months, retroactively
• DR Congo and Malawi: about 6.65 children per woman each in 1990, 6.05 and 3.65 in 2023
• Malawi: women live longer than all 12 UN projections expected — by 10.3 years (median)
• Malawi: the budget came out worse than the IMF forecast in 14 years out of 15

All findings →