1. ForecastsKyrgyzstan

   Kyrgyzstan: 10 of 11 UN projections since 1998 expected fewer births

   The UN's 1998 projection expected 102k births a year on average for 2015–2020; the outcome was 159k (+56%). The latest checked one: the UN's 2022 projection expected 152k births for 2023; the outcome was 151k (−1%). "Outcome" here is the UN's own current estimate, not registration data.

   Source: UN World Population Prospects 1998–2024; national statisticsOpen on the chart →

More findings

• Kyrgyzstan: 15 thousand more people died than usual in 2020–2021; officially 860 died of COVID
• Kyrgyzstan: the share of adults with obesity has overtaken the share going hungry
• Kyrgyzstan: in 2020–2023 net migration was higher than all 12 UN projections assumed
• Kyrgyzstan: 92% online; a GDP-based model gives 57%
• Kyrgyzstan: fertility has been falling since 2015, from 3.21 to 2.80 children per woman
• The IMF foresaw 28 of 537 economic downturns around the world a year ahead

All findings →