1. MigrationKyrgyzstan

   Kyrgyzstan: in 2020–2023 net migration was higher than all 12 UN projections assumed

   The 2022 projection, for example, expected that in 2023 10k more people would leave than arrive; by the UN's current estimate, 5.6k more arrived than left. Projections 1998–2022 are all checked against the same recent years, so they are not 12 independent tests.

   Source: UN World Population Prospects 1998–2024; national statisticsOpen on the chart →

More findings

• Kyrgyzstan: 15 thousand more people died than usual in 2020–2021; officially 860 died of COVID
• Kyrgyzstan: the share of adults with obesity has overtaken the share going hungry
• Kyrgyzstan: 10 of 11 UN projections since 1998 expected fewer births
• Kyrgyzstan: 92% online; a GDP-based model gives 57%
• Kyrgyzstan: fertility has been falling since 2015, from 3.21 to 2.80 children per woman
• India: 18.5M natives live abroad, 3.9 times as many as the foreign-born living there

All findings →