1. HealthHong Kong

   Hong Kong: 11.0% more deaths a year in 2020–2022 than the 2015–2019 trend predicted

   Deaths above the extended 2015–2019 trend (Human Mortality Database, Macroscope's calculation): 2020 +3.2%, 2021 +3.3%, 2022 +26.5%. Men's life expectancy (UN estimate): 82.3 years in 2019, 80.8 years in 2022. The UN's 2019 revision expected 82.4 years for 2020–2025; the estimate for the years so far is 82.3 years.

   Source: Human Mortality Database (excess deaths: Macroscope's calculation); UN WPPOpen on the chart →

More findings

• Hong Kong: lower fertility than Italy
• Hong Kong: twice as many people aged 65+ as children under 15
• Hong Kong: more people now die than are born
• Reading at age ten, 2001 to 2021: Singapore +59 points, Netherlands −27
• Hong Kong: national data show 20% fewer births in 2023 than the UN, yet 5% more children per woman
• Hong Kong: in 2020–2023 net migration was lower than all 12 UN projections assumed

All findings →