1. ForecastsHong Kong

   Hong Kong: all 12 UN projections since 1998 expected women to have more children

   The UN's 1998 projection expected 1.60 for 2020–2025; the outcome was 0.78 (−51%). The latest checked one: the UN's 2022 projection expected 0.79 for 2025; the outcome was 0.73 (−8%).

   Source: UN World Population Prospects 1998–2024; national statisticsOpen on the chart →

More findings

• Hong Kong: lower fertility than Italy
• Hong Kong: twice as many people aged 65+ as children under 15
• Hong Kong: more people now die than are born
• Reading at age ten, 2001 to 2021: Singapore +59 points, Netherlands −27
• Hong Kong: national data show 20% fewer births in 2023 than the UN, yet 5% more children per woman
• Hong Kong: in 2020–2023 net migration was lower than all 12 UN projections assumed

All findings →