Germany: real house prices fell 30.8%
Peak: 1981 Q2; trough: 2010 Q1. The old peak was regained in 2020 Q3. Quarterly house prices, excluding rent.
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How far sampled prices fell from an observed peak and when they recovered.
Peak = 100. The line is the price relative to that peak, not an investor account balance.
- 1981 Q2 index: peak = 100
100
- 2010 Q1 index: peak = 100
69.2
Fall = (trough / peak − 1) × 100. Regaining the peak requires a 44.5% rebound from the trough. Recovery is the first observed point at or above the peak.
BIS quarterly house prices from national sources, adjusted for consumer price inflation. The original index is 2010 = 100; here it is rebased to the observed peak. Rent, costs, mortgages and taxes are excluded. Coverage and series breaks are retained in the detailed dataset. History is bounded by the source window. A price fall does not establish a bubble or banking crisis.
A question for this picture
How does the same period look after income, inflation and currency effects?