Every second child in the world is born where most ten-year-olds cannot understand a simple text
In 2023, 70.3 million of 131 million children were born in such countries: 53.5%. Where most can read it, 24.5%; for the remaining 22.0% there is no reading estimate. In 1990 the same countries had 44.8% and 40.6% of births.
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"Learning poverty" is the World Bank's name for the share of children who, at the end of primary school (about age ten), cannot read and understand a simple text; children out of school count in it too. Countries are split by their latest estimate, above or below half, and their births are added up.
Bars: shares of all children born on Earth in 2023, in countries where most ten-year-olds cannot understand a simple text, where most can, and where there is no such estimate.
- Births where most ten-year-olds cannot read a simple text million
1990: 64.2; 2023: 70.3
UN World Population Prospects 2024 (births); World Bank: learning poverty
- Births where most can read it million
1990: 58.3; 2023: 32.1
UN World Population Prospects 2024 (births); World Bank: learning poverty
- Births with no reading estimate million
1990: 20.9; 2023: 28.9
UN World Population Prospects 2024 (births); World Bank: learning poverty
- India: cannot read a simple text at the end of primary %
2017: 56.1
UN World Population Prospects 2024 (births); World Bank: learning poverty
For each country the latest learning-poverty estimate of 2013–2023; the threshold is 50%. 43 countries are above it, 65 below. Births are UN estimates (World Population Prospects 2024; national statistics in some recent years), summed over all countries. The same split is applied to 1990: this is "where children are born", not "how children read then".
India weighs most: 23.2 million births, 2017 estimate 56.1%; without it the share would be 35.8%. The shift since 1990 is largely China: 28.1 million births then and 9.0 million now, and most of its ten-year-olds read. The largest country without an estimate is Nigeria. Estimates come every few years from different tests. Both births and reading go with a country's poverty; the card claims no link between births and reading themselves.
A question for this picture
And are these children in school? In Morocco almost all are, and still most cannot read a simple text.