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  1. MigrationColombia

    Colombia: in 2020–2023 net migration was higher than all 12 UN projections assumed

    0500k199020352010

    The 2022 projection, for example, expected that in 2023 175k more people would leave than arrive; by the UN's current estimate, 155k more arrived than left. Projections 1998–2022 are all checked against the same recent years, so they are not 12 independent tests.

    Source: UN World Population Prospects 1998–2024; national statisticsOpen on the chart →

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