1. ForecastsCentral African Republic

   Central African Republic: all 11 UN projections since 1998 expected women to have fewer children

   The UN's 1998 projection expected 3.41 for 2015–2020; the outcome was 6.11 (+79%). The latest checked one: the UN's 2022 projection expected 5.83 for 2023; the outcome was 6.01 (+3%). "Outcome" here is the UN's own current estimate, not registration data.

   Source: UN World Population Prospects 1998–2024; national statisticsOpen on the chart →

More findings

• Central African Republic: once more foreign-born lived here than natives abroad; now 906k natives live abroad
• Central African Republic: the UN's 2019 projection did not expect births this high even by 2100
• The IMF foresaw 28 of 537 economic downturns around the world a year ahead
• 2022: the IMF expected inflation above 5% in 43 countries. It happened in 149
• Before 7 of 8 US recessions, next-quarter GDP decline odds were below 25%
• US: in 2001 a $5.6T budget surplus was projected for 10 years. The outcome: a $6.1T deficit

All findings →