Why does Germany grow when deaths outnumber births?

The cards, in order

1. Germany: more deaths than births for over 30 years in a row

   Then why is the population not shrinking?

2. Germany: more deaths than births, yet the population grows — because people arrive

   Did projections expect so many arrivals?

3. Germany: in 2014–2024 6.84M more people arrived than left — Eurostat expected +2.56M in 2013

   Whose babies are born now?

4. Germany: one in three babies has a mother born abroad

   Is that enough to make the country younger?

5. Germany: 1.6 times as many people aged 65+ as children under 15

Growing through arrivals, and ageing

In 2023 Germany had 315k more deaths than births, while 610k more people arrived than left. Over 2014–2024 migration added 6.84M people; in 2013 Eurostat expected 2.56M. One in three babies has a mother born abroad, and there are already 1.6 times as many people aged 65+ as children.

Sources

• UN: World Population Prospects 2024
• Eurostat: EUROPOP population projections
• Eurostat: births by mother’s country of birth

All findings →