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  1. ForecastsSouth Korea, Hong Kong and Colombia

    Where the UN overestimated fertility the most

    South Korea · 2025−45%Hong Kong · 2025−44%Colombia · 2025−38%Chile · 2025−36%Taiwan · 2025−29%Singapore · 2023−29%

    South Korea — −45%, Hong Kong — −44%, Colombia — −38%, Chile — −36%, Taiwan — −29%. Median gap between the outcome and UN projections 1998–2022, percent; countries above 5 million people.

    Source: UN World Population Prospects 1998–2024; national statisticsOpen on the chart →

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