1. MigrationVenezuela

   Venezuela: in 2020–2023 net migration was lower than all 12 UN projections assumed

   The 2022 projection, for example, expected that in 2023 321k more people would arrive than leave; by the UN's current estimate, 113k more left than arrived. Projections 1998–2022 are all checked against the same recent years, so they are not 12 independent tests.

   Source: UN World Population Prospects 1998–2024; national statisticsOpen on the chart →

More findings

• Venezuela: once more foreign-born lived here than natives abroad; now 8.33M natives live abroad
• Venezuela: 77% are online, but only 26% have toilet waste that is safely treated
• Venezuela: the share going hungry jumped from under 2.5% to 24%, then fell again
• Venezuela: the UN's 2002 projection did not expect births this low even by 2050
• Venezuela: all 12 UN projections since 1998 expected more people than there are
• Venezuela: men live shorter lives than all 12 UN projections expected — by 5 years (median)

All findings →