1. ForecastsSyria

   Syria: older UN projections expected too much, the 2022 one too little

   Projections from 1998 to 2015 missed one way. The UN's 1998 projection expected 475k births a year on average for 2015–2020; the outcome was 390k (−18%). The UN's 2022 projection expected 491k births for 2023; the outcome was 522k (+6%). "Outcome" here is the UN's own current estimate, not registration data.

   Source: UN World Population Prospects 1998–2024; national statisticsOpen on the chart →

More findings

• Syria: once more foreign-born lived here than natives abroad; now 8.93M natives live abroad
• Syria: 43% fewer babies in 2018 than before the war; 3% more in countries without war
• Syria: the UN's 2017 projection did not expect births this high even by 2100
• Most refugees abroad per 1,000 residents at home
• Syria: women live shorter lives than all 12 UN projections expected — by 4 years (median)
• Peru and Syria: similar GDP per person in 1990, 3.4 times apart in 2022

All findings →