Pakistan: in 2020–2023 net migration was lower than all 12 UN projections assumed
The 2022 projection, for example, expected that in 2023 166k more people would leave than arrive; by the UN's current estimate, 1.62M more left than arrived. Projections 1998–2022 are all checked against the same recent years, so they are not 12 independent tests.
Source: UN World Population Prospects 1998–2024; national statisticsOpen on the chart →