India in 2015: 175 GW of solar, wind and other renewables by 2022. By end-2022: 121 GW
Arun Jaitley28 February 2015 · Budget speech 2015-16, para 71
«The Ministry of New Renewable Energy has revised its target of renewable energy capacity to 1,75,000 MW till 2022, comprising 100,000 MW Solar, 60,000 MW Wind, 10,000 MW Biomass and 5000 MW Small Hydro.»
By the end of 2022: 121 GW of 175 (69%); by March 2025: 172 GW.
Fact: MNRE, Year-wise achievement; Rajya Sabha, unstarred question 259, 07.02.2023
In 2015 there were 40 GW. By the deadline 69% of the target was built; by March 2025, 172 GW.
More
India’s government set a renewable capacity target for 2022; it was not met on time and almost met a little over two years later.
First the words: who said it, when and where, verbatim (translations are ours). Answer Yes or No, or just open the answer: the stamp is the outcome, below it what came of it. On the chart the dark line is the fact year by year up to the deadline, the pale one after it; the blue dashed line is the promised number from the year of the words to the deadline, the light band the time the promise gave; the ring on the line is when it was said, the ring in the stamp’s colour the fact in the deadline year, beside it how far it landed from the goal. The numbers on the right are the scale.
- Arun Jaitley, Budget speech 2015-16, para 71 quote
«The Ministry of New Renewable Energy has revised its target of renewable energy capacity to 1,75,000 MW till 2022, comprising 100,000 MW Solar, 60,000 MW Wind, 10,000 MW Biomass and 5000 MW Small Hydro.»
Government of India, Budget 2015-2016, Speech of Arun Jaitley
- What happened did not come true
By the end of 2022: 121 GW of 175 (69%); by March 2025: 172 GW.
MNRE, Year-wise achievement; Rajya Sabha, unstarred question 259, 07.02.2023
- Installed on 31 Dec 2022 GW
120.90 GW, of which solar 63.30 and wind 41.93
- Installed on 31 Mar 2025 GW
172.37 GW
Quote: the Finance Minister’s 2015-16 budget speech, para 71. Fact: Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (on 31 March) and the government’s Rajya Sabha answer (on 31 Dec 2022). Outcome: «came true» — the promised number reached by the deadline («about» within 5%), an event happened before the end of the year promised; «exceeded» — with room to spare; «nearly» — short by no more than 10%; «late» — reached, but after the deadline; «did not come true» — not reached; «came true, then undone» — reached, then reversed. The deadline is the end of the year named.
The solar part of the target (100 GW) lagged more than wind. In 2019 the government announced a new target of 450 GW by 2030.
A question for this picture
Two years late: is that a lot or a little for a power system of this size?