1. EconomyGreece

   Greece: in May 2011 the European Commission expected GDP growth of 1.1% for 2012; the outcome was −8.3%

   Next-year forecasts of 55 releases (2000–2024): the outcome above the forecast 21 times, below 34; typical error −0.39 percentage points. The largest under-forecast in November 2020: 5.0% expected for 2021, the outcome was 8.7%. The largest over-forecast in November 2019: 2.3% expected for 2020, the outcome was −9.2%.

   Source: HM Treasury and the OBR (OBR historical forecasts database), European Commission (forecasts and AMECO); actual: OBR, ONS, AMECOOpen on the chart →

More findings

• Greece: wind and sun have overtaken coal
• Greece: the poor go without a doctor 3.9 times as often as the rich
• Greece: affiliation is broader than high importance
• Greece: AI is used more for private life than work
• Greece: 1.9 times as many people aged 80+ as children under 5
• Promises to pay families with children more: 6 of 10 came true on time

All findings →