1. ForecastsChad

   Chad: all 12 UN projections since 1998 expected fewer people than there are

   The UN's 1998 projection expected 13.4M for 2023; the outcome was 19.3M (+45%). The latest checked one: the UN's 2022 projection expected 18.3M for 2023; the outcome was 19.3M (+6%). "Outcome" here is the UN's own current estimate, not registration data.

   Source: UN World Population Prospects 1998–2024; national statisticsOpen on the chart →

More findings

• Chad: more babies born than in the UK
• Chad: 4.3 times as many foreign-born residents as natives abroad, mostly refugees
• China and Chad: similar GDP per person in 1990, 10.1 times apart in 2025
• Chad: in 2020–2023 net migration was higher than all 12 UN projections assumed
• Chad: the decline of 2008 turned into growth, after the fact
• Most refugees hosted per 1,000 residents

All findings →