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  1. Everyday lifeGermany

    CDU/CSU in 2017: 1.5 million new homes in Germany in 2017–2021. 1.46 million were completed

    CDU/CSU3 July 2017 · programme «Für ein Deutschland, in dem wir gut und gerne leben» 2017–2021

    «We want 1.5 million new homes to be built in Germany in the coming legislative term, from 2017 to 2021: that means a 50 percent increase on today.»

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    Did it come true?Nearly

    1.465 million homes were completed in 2017–2021 — 98% of 1.5 million.

    Fact: Destatis, Baufertigstellungen (Fachserie 5 Reihe 1; таблица «Baufertigstellungen»)

    5001,0001,50020172018201920202021thousand homes1,465 in 2021goal 1,500 by 202135 shortsaid

    That is 98% of the promise. Between 285k and 306k homes were completed a year. The 2018 coalition agreement repeated the goal for 2018–2021: 1.18 million were completed in those four years.

    Source: Quotes from primary sources, facts from official statistics (links on the back)Open on the chart →
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    Merkel’s party promised in its manifesto to build half as much housing again per term as was being built. Building rose, but not by that much.

    First the words: who said it, when and where, verbatim (translations are ours). Answer Yes or No, or just open the answer: the stamp is the outcome, below it what came of it. On the chart the dark line is the fact year by year up to the deadline, the pale one after it; the blue dashed line is the promised number from the year of the words to the deadline, the light band the time the promise gave; the ring on the line is when it was said, the ring in the stamp’s colour the fact in the deadline year, beside it how far it landed from the goal. The numbers on the right are the scale.

    Quote: the CDU/CSU manifesto for the 2017 election. Fact: Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), building completions: dwellings in new and converted buildings per calendar year, summed from 2017. Outcome: «came true» — the promised number reached by the deadline («about» within 5%), an event happened before the end of the year promised; «exceeded» — with room to spare; «nearly» — short by no more than 10%; «late» — reached, but after the deadline; «did not come true» — not reached; «came true, then undone» — reached, then reversed. The deadline is the end of the year named.

    Homes in new and converted buildings are counted. The 2018 agreement promised 1.5 million «in this term», i.e. 2018–2021: 1.18 million were completed then. The next government promised 400,000 homes a year.

    A question for this picture

    What limits building more: money, land, builders or permits?

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