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  1. Markets and valuationsBrazil

    Brazil: real house prices fell 27.9%

    80100201320272020

    Peak: 2013 Q4; trough: 2023 Q2. The old peak had not been regained at the last observation, 2026 Q2. Quarterly house prices, excluding rent.

    Source: BIS: quarterly real house pricesOpen on the chart →
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    How far sampled prices fell from an observed peak and when they recovered.

    Peak = 100. The line is the price relative to that peak, not an investor account balance.

    Fall = (trough / peak − 1) × 100. Regaining the peak requires a 38.7% rebound from the trough. Recovery is the first observed point at or above the peak.

    BIS quarterly house prices from national sources, adjusted for consumer price inflation. The original index is 2010 = 100; here it is rebased to the observed peak. Rent, costs, mortgages and taxes are excluded. Coverage and series breaks are retained in the detailed dataset. History is bounded by the source window. A price fall does not establish a bubble or banking crisis.

    A question for this picture

    How does the same period look after income, inflation and currency effects?

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