Brazil: the IBGE 2001 projection expected fertility of 2.06 for 2023; the outcome was 1.57
5 projections of IBGE (the Brazilian statistical office) checked against the facts at the latest common year: the outcome came in below the projection in 4 of 5 and above in 1. The largest miss: IBGE 2001 expected 2.06 for 2023; the outcome was 1.57 (−23.8%). The office will revise the latest facts again.
Source: National statistical offices: projections and actual dataOpen on the chart →