Brazil: the IBGE 2004 projection expected births of 3.42M for 2023; the outcome was 2.54M
5 projections of IBGE (the Brazilian statistical office) checked against the facts at the latest common year: the outcome came in below the projection in 4 of 5 and above in 1. The largest miss: IBGE 2004 expected 3.42M for 2023; the outcome was 2.54M (−25.7%). The office will revise the latest facts again.
Source: National statistical offices: projections and actual dataOpen on the chart →