{"method":"Каждая война на территории страны с 1955 года (UCDP/PRIO: от 1000 погибших в боях за год, из них не меньше 500 — на территории страны, перерывы до двух лет объединены) сравнена с довоенным линейным трендом самой страны (10 лет, не меньше 5) и с 10 мирными странами, где рождаемость за год до войны была ближе всего (страна другого региона ООН считается на 0,25 ребёнка дальше): разница отклонений от тренда, медиана по сравниваемым странам год за годом, среднее за окно. Войны дольше 10 лет — только первые 10 лет. Большие войны до 1946 года (даты — Encyclopaedia Britannica) — против стран, которые в те годы не воевали, по рождениям Human Mortality Database. Рождения — в процентах, рождаемость — в детях на женщину, рождения на 1000 жителей — в промилле. Совпадение во времени не доказывает причину; «факт» ООН без полной регистрации — модельная оценка.","sources":["UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset","PRIO Battle Deaths Dataset","UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset","Encyclopaedia Britannica (dates of wars before 1946)","UN World Population Prospects 2024","Human Mortality Database","Human Fertility Database","monthly births: national offices, Eurostat, HFD STFF, UNdata","regional births: DANE, INEGI, State Statistics Service of Ukraine"],"data_url":"https://macroscope.is/data/indicators/wars.json","location":{"code":"BIH","name":"Босния и Герцеговина"},"war_years":[{"from":1992,"to":1995,"kind":"war_on_territory"}],"episodes":[{"id":"BIH-1992","location":"BIH","name":"Босния и Герцеговина","kind":"modern","from":1992,"to":1995,"long_war":false,"battle_deaths":49871,"tfr_before":1.78,"compared_with":["Франция","Украина","Финляндия","Эстония","Беларусь","Чехия","Латвия","Венгрия","Дания","Бельгия"],"results":{"births":{"war":{"gap":-17.42,"own":-24.38,"years":4},"p1_5":{"gap":-5.08,"own":-23.69,"years":5},"p6_10":{"gap":-8.3,"own":-23.88,"years":5}},"tfr":{"war":{"gap":0.284,"own":0.05,"years":4},"p1_5":{"gap":0.462,"own":0.003,"years":5},"p6_10":{"gap":0.271,"own":-0.112,"years":5}},"cbr":{"war":{"gap":-0.37,"own":-1.35,"years":4},"p1_5":{"gap":1.18,"own":-0.95,"years":5},"p6_10":{"gap":1.18,"own":-0.2,"years":5}}},"view_url":"https://macroscope.is/ru/chart/?c=BIH&i=births,tfr&from=1982&to=2010&fc=0"}],"world_wars":[{"war_en":"World War I","war_ru":"Первая мировая война","url":"https://www.britannica.com/event/World-War-I","a":1914,"b":1918,"base_years":[1911,1913],"y0":1904,"median":{"combatant":{"n":7,"min_index":57.3,"post15_mean_index":95.6,"index":[107.8,106,106.7,103.6,106.2,103,102.5,100.3,100.6,100,96.5,92.7,79,61.9,57.3,71.9,103.7,97.2,96.7,98.4,98.5,99,98,94.7,96,92.9,96.2,90.9,85.1,85.4,84,85.4,84.5,82.7,82]},"neutral":{"n":8,"min_index":94.6,"post15_mean_index":99.3,"index":[102.8,102.1,102.2,100.9,102.9,103.2,101.1,100.2,100.7,99.2,99.8,97.2,98.2,98.8,99,95,106.8,106,103.4,103.5,102.1,100.2,100.2,96.8,99.1,96.3,98,95.7,96.3,93,94.8,94.3,94.2,91,87]}},"countries":[]},{"war_en":"World War II","war_ru":"Вторая мировая война","url":"https://www.britannica.com/event/World-War-II","a":1939,"b":1945,"base_years":[1936,1938],"y0":1929,"median":{"combatant":{"n":13,"min_index":100.7,"post15_mean_index":128.8,"index":[105.2,108.7,103.1,103.3,98.8,99.1,98.3,98.5,99.6,102.8,102.7,104.9,105.3,112.4,122.8,124.1,119.5,141.7,144.1,139.6,136.2,132.4,128.1,129.8,125.1,123.7,123.5,129.4,130.9,130.2,132.9,131.4,134.4,134.3,139.3,140.7,138.8]},"neutral":{"n":4,"min_index":102.7,"post15_mean_index":130.6,"index":[105.1,106.3,100.8,101,98.4,99,100.1,101.6,98.7,100,102.8,102.9,108,116.8,120.7,123.6,127,126.6,129.1,129.8,127.7,124.1,122.2,123.5,125.6,123.4,125.8,128.2,130.1,129.6,130.4,130.1,135.2,140.8,148.3,155.9,155.1]}},"countries":[]}],"monthly":[],"regional":[]}