{"summary":{"countries":42,"below_un_medium":33,"below_un_lower95":8},"description":"Средний вариант прогноза ООН (июль 2024) против рождений по данным национальной статистики за последний год (2024–2025). Только страны, где национальный ряд совпадал с оценками ООН в общие годы (не больше 5% два года подряд); ряды другого охвата исключены. Строки отсортированы по расхождению.","items":[{"code":"COL","name_ru":"Колумбия","name_en":"Colombia","year":2025,"status":"final","un_medium_births_k":692.8,"actual_births_k":441.537,"gap_pct":-36.3,"un_lower95_births_k":534.8,"below_lower95":true,"source":"DANE, Boletin tecnico EEVV, cifras definitivas 2025 y ano corrido 2026pr (24 Sep 2026)","source_url":"https://www.dane.gov.co/files/operaciones/EEVV/2026/24-sep-2026/bol-EEVV-Isem2026pr.pdf","name":"Колумбия"},{"code":"ROU","name_ru":"Румыния","name_en":"Romania","year":2025,"status":"provisional","un_medium_births_k":178.5,"actual_births_k":134.238,"gap_pct":-24.8,"un_lower95_births_k":157.3,"below_lower95":true,"source":"Eurostat demo_gind (births) / demo_find (TFR), retrieved 2026-10-01","source_url":"https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/api/dissemination/statistics/1.0/data/demo_gind?format=JSON&lang=EN&indic_de=LBIRTH&sinceTimePeriod=2015&geo=RO","name":"Румыния"},{"code":"TUN","name_ru":"Тунис","name_en":"Tunisia","year":2024,"status":"final","un_medium_births_k":164.1,"actual_births_k":126.401,"gap_pct":-23,"un_lower95_births_k":132.9,"below_lower95":true,"source":"INS Tunisia, Statistiques - Naissances","source_url":"https://www.ins.tn/statistiques/112","name":"Тунис"},{"code":"LTU","name_ru":"Литва","name_en":"Lithuania","year":2025,"status":"final","un_medium_births_k":22.1,"actual_births_k":17.642,"gap_pct":-20.2,"un_lower95_births_k":18.7,"below_lower95":true,"source":"Eurostat demo_gind (births); 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KSH (TFR, preliminary)","source_url":"https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/api/dissemination/statistics/1.0/data/demo_gind?format=JSON&lang=EN&indic_de=LBIRTH&sinceTimePeriod=2015&geo=HU","name":"Венгрия"},{"code":"BLR","name_ru":"Беларусь","name_en":"Belarus","year":2025,"status":"final","un_medium_births_k":62.33,"actual_births_k":54.257,"gap_pct":-13,"un_lower95_births_k":48.96,"below_lower95":false,"source":"Belstat, Regions of the Republic of Belarus 2026 vol. 1, table 3.16 (registered 30 Sep 2026)","source_url":"https://www.belstat.gov.by/upload/iblock/580/ak5bwg5igfux0yggz5orfuqi5lvyhywm.pdf","name":"Беларусь"},{"code":"CZE","name_ru":"Чехия","name_en":"Czechia","year":2025,"status":"provisional","un_medium_births_k":86.93,"actual_births_k":77.636,"gap_pct":-10.7,"un_lower95_births_k":76.01,"below_lower95":false,"source":"Eurostat demo_gind (births); CZSO (TFR)","source_url":"https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/api/dissemination/statistics/1.0/data/demo_gind?format=JSON&lang=EN&indic_de=LBIRTH&sinceTimePeriod=2015&geo=CZ","name":"Чехия"},{"code":"CHL","name_ru":"Чили","name_en":"Chile","year":2024,"status":"provisional","un_medium_births_k":172.4,"actual_births_k":154.441,"gap_pct":-10.4,"un_lower95_births_k":138.4,"below_lower95":false,"source":"UN VSR table 3 (16 Sep 2026)","source_url":"https://unstats.un.org/unsd/demographic-social/products/vitstats/seratab3.pdf","name":"Чили"},{"code":"CRI","name_ru":"Коста-Рика","name_en":"Costa Rica","year":2025,"status":"provisional","un_medium_births_k":50.63,"actual_births_k":45.384,"gap_pct":-10.4,"un_lower95_births_k":39.8,"below_lower95":false,"source":"UN Demographic Yearbook table 9 / UN VSR table 3 (INEC data)","source_url":"https://unstats.un.org/unsd/demographic-social/products/vitstats/seratab3.pdf","name":"Коста-Рика"},{"code":"URY","name_ru":"Уругвай","name_en":"Uruguay","year":2024,"status":"final","un_medium_births_k":33.2,"actual_births_k":29.899,"gap_pct":-9.9,"un_lower95_births_k":27.06,"below_lower95":false,"source":"UN Demographic Yearbook table 9 / UN VSR table 3 (MSP data)","source_url":"https://unstats.un.org/unsd/demographic-social/products/vitstats/seratab3.pdf","name":"Уругвай"},{"code":"CHN","name_ru":"Китай","name_en":"China","year":2025,"status":"estimate","un_medium_births_k":8709,"actual_births_k":7920,"gap_pct":-9.1,"un_lower95_births_k":6496,"below_lower95":false,"source":"National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS), Statistical Communiqué on National Economic and Social Development","source_url":"https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfbhjd/202602/t20260228_1962662.html","name":"Китай"},{"code":"DEU","name_ru":"Германия","name_en":"Germany","year":2025,"status":"final","un_medium_births_k":708,"actual_births_k":654.241,"gap_pct":-7.6,"un_lower95_births_k":612.2,"below_lower95":false,"source":"Destatis press release No. 230 of 1 July 2026","source_url":"https://www.destatis.de/DE/Presse/Pressemitteilungen/2026/07/PD26_230_12.html","name":"Германия"},{"code":"BRA","name_ru":"Бразилия","name_en":"Brazil","year":2024,"status":"final","un_medium_births_k":2572,"actual_births_k":2376.901,"gap_pct":-7.6,"un_lower95_births_k":2176,"below_lower95":false,"source":"IBGE, Estatisticas do Registro Civil 2024 (presentation)","source_url":"https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/media/com_mediaibge/arquivos/031ad256f70356ed66b25e4ff01767cc.pdf","name":"Бразилия"},{"code":"ITA","name_ru":"Италия","name_en":"Italy","year":2025,"status":"provisional","un_medium_births_k":382.5,"actual_births_k":355.435,"gap_pct":-7.1,"un_lower95_births_k":327,"below_lower95":false,"source":"Eurostat demo_gind (births, provisional); 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ONS Vital statistics in the UK reference tables 2021 (UK TFR 2015-2021)","source_url":"https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/api/dissemination/statistics/1.0/data/demo_gind?format=JSON&lang=EN&indic_de=LBIRTH&sinceTimePeriod=2015&geo=UK","name":"Великобритания"},{"code":"CHE","name_ru":"Швейцария","name_en":"Switzerland","year":2025,"status":"final","un_medium_births_k":81.82,"actual_births_k":78.153,"gap_pct":-4.5,"un_lower95_births_k":71.67,"below_lower95":false,"source":"Eurostat demo_gind (births); BFS definitive results 2025 (press release 18 Jun 2026)","source_url":"https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/api/dissemination/statistics/1.0/data/demo_gind?format=JSON&lang=EN&indic_de=LBIRTH&sinceTimePeriod=2015&geo=CH","name":"Швейцария"},{"code":"NLD","name_ru":"Нидерланды","name_en":"Netherlands","year":2025,"status":"final","un_medium_births_k":174.2,"actual_births_k":166.588,"gap_pct":-4.4,"un_lower95_births_k":153.2,"below_lower95":false,"source":"CBS StatLine 85722NED Geboorte; kerncijfers (updated 21 Jul 2026)","source_url":"https://opendata.cbs.nl/ODataApi/odata/85722NED/TypedDataSet","name":"Нидерланды"},{"code":"GRC","name_ru":"Греция","name_en":"Greece","year":2025,"status":"provisional","un_medium_births_k":68.15,"actual_births_k":65.439,"gap_pct":-4,"un_lower95_births_k":57.61,"below_lower95":false,"source":"Eurostat demo_gind (provisional)","source_url":"https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/api/dissemination/statistics/1.0/data/demo_gind?format=JSON&lang=EN&indic_de=LBIRTH&sinceTimePeriod=2015&geo=EL","name":"Греция"},{"code":"RUS","name_ru":"Россия","name_en":"Russia","year":2024,"status":"provisional","un_medium_births_k":1270,"actual_births_k":1222.408,"gap_pct":-3.7,"un_lower95_births_k":1139,"below_lower95":false,"source":"Rosstat operational data EDN Jan-Dec 2024 (by date of civil registration); 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CSO Vital Statistics Yearly Summary 2025 (TFR, published 2 Jun 2026)","source_url":"https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/api/dissemination/statistics/1.0/data/demo_gind?format=JSON&lang=EN&indic_de=LBIRTH&sinceTimePeriod=2015&geo=IE","name":"Ирландия"},{"code":"KOR","name_ru":"Южная Корея","name_en":"South Korea","year":2025,"status":"final","un_medium_births_k":245.9,"actual_births_k":254.341,"gap_pct":3.4,"un_lower95_births_k":180.3,"below_lower95":false,"source":"National Data Office (국가데이터처, formerly Statistics Korea), '2025 Birth Statistics' (final), released 2026-08-26, Table 1 and appendix table 1","source_url":"https://eiec.kdi.re.kr/policy/materialView.do?num=285815","name":"Южная Корея"},{"code":"FIN","name_ru":"Финляндия","name_en":"Finland","year":2025,"status":"final","un_medium_births_k":43.93,"actual_births_k":45.832,"gap_pct":4.3,"un_lower95_births_k":37.65,"below_lower95":false,"source":"Statistics Finland StatFin tables 12dj (births) and 12dt (TFR), updated 1 Jul 2026","source_url":"https://pxdata.stat.fi/PxWeb/api/v1/en/StatFin/synt/12dj.px","name":"Финляндия"},{"code":"NOR","name_ru":"Норвегия","name_en":"Norway","year":2025,"status":"final","un_medium_births_k":52.98,"actual_births_k":55.401,"gap_pct":4.6,"un_lower95_births_k":46.21,"below_lower95":false,"source":"Statistics Norway tables 05803 (births) and 04232 (TFR)","source_url":"https://data.ssb.no/api/v0/en/table/05803","name":"Норвегия"},{"code":"ISR","name_ru":"Израиль","name_en":"Israel","year":2025,"status":"estimate","un_medium_births_k":171.4,"actual_births_k":182,"gap_pct":6.2,"un_lower95_births_k":146.9,"below_lower95":false,"source":"Israel CBS media release 422/2025 'Population of Israel on the Eve of 2026' (31 Dec 2025; 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