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демографические перспективы, пересмотр 2010 года","url":"https://population.un.org/wpp/assets/Excel%20Files/5_Archive/WPP2010-CSV-data.zip"},"wpp2012":{"name":"ООН, Мировые демографические перспективы, пересмотр 2012 года","url":"https://population.un.org/wpp/assets/Excel%20Files/5_Archive/WPP2012-CSV-data.zip"},"wpp2015":{"name":"ООН, Мировые демографические перспективы, пересмотр 2015 года","url":"https://population.un.org/wpp/assets/Excel%20Files/5_Archive/WPP2015-CSV-data.zip"},"wpp2017":{"name":"ООН, Мировые демографические перспективы, пересмотр 2017 года","url":"https://population.un.org/wpp/assets/Excel%20Files/5_Archive/WPP2017-CSV-data.zip"},"wpp2019":{"name":"ООН, Мировые демографические перспективы, пересмотр 2019 года","url":"https://population.un.org/wpp/assets/Excel%20Files/5_Archive/WPP2019-CSV-data.zip"},"wpp2022":{"name":"ООН, Мировые демографические перспективы 2022","url":"https://population.un.org/wpp/assets/Excel%20Files/5_Archive/WPP2022-CSV-data.zip"},"wvs-values-published-tables":{"name":"WVS7: открытые таблицы EVS/WVS","url":"https://www.gesis.org/en/european-values-study/data-and-documentation/joint-evs/wvs-2017-2022-dataset"}},"notes":["ООН: для населения, рождений и рождаемости gap_pct = факт / прогноз − 1, в процентах (минус — факт ниже прогноза); для миграции, продолжительности жизни и возраста матери gap = факт − прогноз в единицах показателя (gap_unit: k — тыс. человек в год, per1000 — на 1000 жителей, years — лет), coverage — доля пятилетия с фактом (меньше 1 — период ещё не закончился). Факт — оценки ООН WPP 2024; рождения и рождаемость — национальная статистика с последнего года, где она совпадала с оценкой ООН (ряды другого охвата не стыкуются); пятилетние периоды старых выпусков сравниваются со взвешенным средним годовых фактов.","МВФ: gap = факт − прогноз; для ставок (рост, инфляция, долг, безработица, баланс бюджета, текущий счёт) в процентных пунктах, для ВВП на душу в долларах и населения — в процентах. Факт — по последнему выпуску WEO, для населения — оценки ООН WPP 2024. horizon_years 0 — прогноз на текущий год, 1 — на следующий; по стране отдаются горизонты до 2 лет, все — в CSV.","Евростат (только Европа): выпуски EUROPOP 2013–2025 против статистики самого Евростата; gap в % для рождаемости и населения, «факт − прогноз» для миграции (тыс. человек) и продолжительности жизни (лет). Факт миграции — въехавшие минус выехавшие по данным регистрации, где они есть. Выпуски 2013 и 2015 — копии файлов Евростата в Internet Archive.","Разбор ошибки прогноза населения ООН (components): прогноз каждого выпуска на 2023 год против оценки ООН 2024 года; gap = start + births + deaths + migration + residual, тыс. человек. start — стартовая численность, которую ООН потом пересчитала; births, deaths, migration — разница между тем, что было за годы прогноза, и тем, что закладывали (deaths со знаком минус: больше смертей уменьшают население); *_expected и *_actual — сами суммы. «Факт» — тоже оценка ООН."],"page":"https://macroscope.is/ru/country/yuzhnaya-koreya/"}